China’s foreign reserves hold steady as external earnings stay in private hands

Hong Kong absorbed nearly two-thirds of mainland China’s portfolio outflows last year and now holds about half of the total external stock, IIF says China’s foreign exchange reserves barely budged last year despite a record US$1.18 trillion trade surplus, as the country’s massive external earnings increasingly wound up on the balance sheets of domestic households, commercial banks and corporations rather than in Beijing’s central coffers, a new report from the Institute of International Finance (IIF) shows. China has long been a major net creditor to the rest of the world. But in 2025, its non-reserve sector – banks, companies and investors operating outside the central bank’s reserve holdings – became a net creditor in its own right for the first time, according to the IIF report, published on Monday. “The institutional centre of surplus recycling has shifted,” wrote Gene Ma and Phoebe Feng of the global financial services trade group, adding activity had moved from the People’s Bank of China’s reserve portfolio and towards firms, investors and, above all, banks. The shift reflects a broader change in how China deploys its savings abroad.

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